Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 555 | 93.0¢ | $555 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | No | 250 | 92.0¢ | $250 | — |
| oneoftheppl0x4d1d…01ac | No | 150 | 97.4¢ | $150 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 7,373 bets |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | No | 110 | 92.0¢ | $110 | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| Spectrum0x0781…c4ff | No | 10 | 98.1¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 6,270 bets |
| 0xf85f…9800 | No | 8 | 93.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 2 | 97.1¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| berrari0x572c…cdbd | No | 1 | 93.0¢ | $1 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 1,890 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 87,300 bets |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 1,846 | 7.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 1,691 | 7.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 1,216 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,224 bets |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 1,098 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 842 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.24 per $100 · 20,564 bets |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 757 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| humbleBaker0x1237…06af | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | — |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 527 | 2.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 483 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 18,815 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 460 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 63,331+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 436 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 422 | 5.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 401 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 361 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| zerone7770xe949…dea6 | Yes | 318 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$36.27 per $100 · 616 bets |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 304 | 4.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 2,023 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 299 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 240 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,620 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 175 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| xamel270x242c…fbe8 | Yes | 154 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$38.72 per $100 · 154 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 137 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.89 per $100 · 53,017+ bets · updating |
| lin202610x3a22…7407 | Yes | 125 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$35.67 per $100 · 274 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.43 per $100 · 26,254 bets |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | Yes | 100 | 4.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.68 per $100 · 1,488 bets |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 98 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 68 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 52 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| E100hrall012u312nc0cgvvbvc80x9b71…c042 | Yes | 48 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | Yes | 40 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 38 | 7.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 34 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$33.48 per $100 · 563 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 28 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.65 per $100 · 14,566 bets |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 28 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 26 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| 0x2c8b…8f6f | Yes | 25 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| akla270x5993…a32d | Yes | 24 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$37.53 per $100 · 318 bets |
| elpatrondelaciudad0x156b…0f5b | No | 0 | 94.2¢ | $0 | — |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.62 per $100 · 20,256 bets |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 12,103 bets |
| 0xe795…0eaa | Yes | 15 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 15 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| crazyyugo0x6a1f…1a60 | Yes | 13 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x827d…c558 | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe8c6…f7f6 | Yes | 10 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| WWees10x45bc…fdb5 | Yes | 10 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 7 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| egrsafvafvaer0x81ad…36a2 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ElectionBetter12340xb29a…ae79 | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | 5 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 666 events · $32.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.