Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 17,489 | 80.3¢ | $13.5K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,393 bets |
| Chungvicular0x41ea…7a3d | Yes | 10,000 | 22.3¢ | $2.3K | Proven+$6.94 per $100 · 188 bets |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | Yes | 7,000 | 17.6¢ | $1.61K | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| flexibleagedbeef0xbbc5…b08b | No | 1,301 | 76.2¢ | $1K | — |
| Aquetry0x0fd5…a85e | No | 520 | 78.6¢ | $400 | — |
| HotDogs0x5c60…67c1 | No | 456 | 80.0¢ | $351 | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 613 bets |
| 0x225b…422a | Yes | 1,427 | 24.7¢ | $328 | Proven+$9.52 per $100 · 303 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 385 | 73.8¢ | $296 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,648 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 1,185 | 19.6¢ | $272 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 1,086 | 74.6¢ | $250 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,660 bets |
| Ambitious-Climate0x1aa5…8712 | Yes | 1,000 | 22.7¢ | $230 | New2 settled bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | No | 252 | 21.0¢ | $194 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| Pbankster0x56cb…9550 | Yes | 812 | 25.4¢ | $187 | New89 settled bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 650 | 22.1¢ | $149 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| keepingitral0xf26c…d5c5 | Yes | 597 | 23.4¢ | $137 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 170 | 77.4¢ | $131 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| sollydisa0x1c76…c23e | Yes | 500 | 23.7¢ | $115 | Proven+$16.85 per $100 · 138 bets |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | No | 148 | 65.3¢ | $114 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| 0x3c64…09cd | Yes | 476 | 22.7¢ | $109 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 647 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 135 | 29.8¢ | $104 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| LarBotPrime0x32fd…5c8b | No | 120 | 80.2¢ | $92 | — |
| iridoyume0x3545…1a96 | Yes | 384 | 78.9¢ | $88 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 106 | 78.3¢ | $82 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| test.saveliyb.test0x6358…cc23 | No | 90 | 78.7¢ | $69 | — |
| Flaner0x585b…753f | Yes | 242 | 78.8¢ | $56 | Losing−$4.08 per $100 · 927 bets |
| ultimg0x563a…d6d8 | Yes | 237 | 17.4¢ | $55 | — |
| ocpna0x3106…d672 | Yes | 192 | 22.2¢ | $44 | Proven+$7.77 per $100 · 335 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | No | 57 | 44.2¢ | $44 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,035 bets |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | 182 | 77.5¢ | $42 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 178 | 21.3¢ | $41 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,129 bets |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | No | 51 | 17.0¢ | $39 | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 47 | 76.4¢ | $36 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,955 bets |
| AllTheWhimsy0x80f9…3ab9 | Yes | 136 | 22.7¢ | $31 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 109 | 23.0¢ | $25 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| Rasalgethi0x8393…f0ae | Yes | 100 | 80.0¢ | $23 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 25 | 77.1¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| khanoftruth0x742f…d673 | Yes | 83 | 32.6¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 18,004 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 24 | 82.8¢ | $18 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 79 | 23.7¢ | $18 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 21 | 27.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| thisissocool110xecef…75fa | No | 20 | 74.8¢ | $16 | — |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 20 | 52.0¢ | $15 | — |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 12 | 78.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 10 | 84.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.88 per $100 · 1,656 bets |
| 0xecf5…f5db | Yes | 31 | 77.0¢ | $7 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 8 | 24.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 8 | 74.8¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| predictiondiablo0xc9db…6789 | No | 8 | 43.3¢ | $6 | Proven+$6.48 per $100 · 9,516 bets |
| Sui0070xce62…cee0 | No | 7 | 74.8¢ | $5 | — |
| kipvonskip0x4b36…85bb | Yes | 20 | 22.7¢ | $5 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 20 | 23.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | Yes | 15 | 53.6¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.59 per $100 · 8,855 bets |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | Yes | 12 | 83.7¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| Vollhorst0xe3a6…8297 | Yes | 12 | 84.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 56sdfdsfs0x610e…b852 | Yes | 11 | 23.0¢ | $3 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 3 | 64.9¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| 0x0317…b1e8 | Yes | 10 | 74.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd074…5a54 | Yes | 7 | 86.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x6ca8…2813 | No | 2 | 79.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x435e…f153 | Yes | 6 | 18.8¢ | $1 | — |
| capetsa0x4d36…52f7 | Yes | 5 | 73.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8856…73dc | Yes | 5 | 87.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 16r0ob0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | 4 | 35.5¢ | $1 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 4 | 26.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| ijnfiz6fn5ym0x2e32…1c37 | Yes | 4 | 29.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 1 | 79.0¢ | $1 | — |
| D2222222220x8998…2707 | No | 1 | 74.8¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 3 | 23.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| macsmike0x2ed4…31fa | Yes | 2 | 81.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ox7a8Fe7b6934c1B5CdA555FBD5731a57E2683D9ee0x7a8f…d9ee | No | 1 | 86.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x24ac…b80a | Yes | 2 | 83.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rspsgy0x622d…6d82 | Yes | 1 | 81.0¢ | $0 | — |
| generischerkaq0xa98e…371e | Yes | 1 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 420120xba8d…009d | No | 0 | 22.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 1 | 24.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 77.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | No | 0 | 76.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7c81…5d38 | No | 0 | 27.8¢ | $0 | — |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 0 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| subanon0xd43e…49c3 | No | 0 | 77.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x99bc…4f35 | Yes | 0 | 30.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 80.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,027 bets |
| Budgets0x6586…c69c | Yes | 0 | 80.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 1,395 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 0 | 24.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 0 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | No | 0 | 25.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | No | 0 | 53.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| PollyForge0xc540…f00d | No | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | No | 0 | 26.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
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