Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Yes | 25,196 | 72.7¢ | $19.3K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| lomneivan0x1fee…ed5e | No | 9,000 | 28.0¢ | $2.12K | New74 settled bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 7,652 | 28.9¢ | $1.8K | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,391 bets |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 1,706 | 72.9¢ | $1.31K | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | Yes | 1,407 | 73.8¢ | $1.08K | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 2,128 bets |
| 0x59d1…07ce | Yes | 1,058 | 72.8¢ | $810 | New75 settled bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 632 | 71.8¢ | $483 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 575 bets |
| gh6y0omxinx80x0d83…8eb4 | Yes | 479 | 79.9¢ | $366 | Losing−$4.67 per $100 · 1,570 bets |
| Picksell0x0b9e…154a | Yes | 234 | 77.7¢ | $179 | — |
| 0x2955…0738 | No | 670 | 24.7¢ | $157 | Losing−$9.33 per $100 · 265 bets |
| dedidanc0x11f8…ed31 | Yes | 184 | 68.0¢ | $141 | Proven+$11.21 per $100 · 235 bets |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd0x5446…18f6 | Yes | 180 | 70.3¢ | $138 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | Yes | 170 | 74.3¢ | $130 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 160 | 76.7¢ | $122 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 157 | 65.7¢ | $120 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 508 | 27.1¢ | $119 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | Yes | 86 | 74.0¢ | $66 | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 270 | 27.2¢ | $63 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,452 bets |
| mikon-scotti0xd3db…b323 | Yes | 76 | 74.0¢ | $58 | — |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | No | 243 | 25.7¢ | $57 | — |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 219 | 21.0¢ | $51 | Losing−$3.77 per $100 · 23,410 bets |
| we-are-the-world20x8569…2267 | Yes | 63 | 74.0¢ | $48 | — |
| ClaudeIntern0x95b3…1df1 | Yes | 58 | 74.0¢ | $44 | Losing−$13.46 per $100 · 104 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 180 | 23.6¢ | $42 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | Yes | 50 | 77.7¢ | $38 | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| Magician53420x4ae4…f84a | Yes | 45 | 79.6¢ | $34 | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 319 bets |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | No | 142 | 31.0¢ | $33 | — |
| tippman0x2bb1…9a60 | Yes | 39 | 76.7¢ | $30 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 32 | 76.8¢ | $24 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Yes | 30 | 75.8¢ | $23 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| pykue0xa45f…d6cb | Yes | 28 | 77.7¢ | $21 | — |
| spaceskeleton0x79d2…61ce | Yes | 28 | 79.7¢ | $21 | Losing−$15.24 per $100 · 214 bets |
| ox52Bd7D7418083289C912b9f99fbb854DCd7Cf1af0x52bd…f1af | Yes | 25 | 74.8¢ | $19 | — |
| 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | 25 | 58.3¢ | $19 | Losing−$5.13 per $100 · 30,404+ bets · updating |
| Roht0x4fc1…ec92 | Yes | 20 | 75.0¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 8,836 bets |
| hawk110x1f14…12bb | Yes | 19 | 68.4¢ | $14 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 14 | 11.4¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| 0x4852…bbb2 | Yes | 14 | 71.8¢ | $11 | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 13 | 71.8¢ | $10 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| Kukapol0x9e13…00ec | Yes | 13 | 78.0¢ | $10 | — |
| walkwithyourboy0xbc1f…8f78 | Yes | 13 | 77.7¢ | $10 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 37 | 25.1¢ | $9 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 33 | 36.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| phcrux10xc862…3fb2 | Yes | 7 | 76.1¢ | $5 | — |
| hamid19190x3cbe…2520 | Yes | 7 | 77.7¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.47 per $100 · 1,204 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 19 | 27.3¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| znyb25tza7az0x7362…12c1 | Yes | 6 | 78.5¢ | $4 | — |
| am85b0x7021…b9bc | Yes | 6 | 76.7¢ | $4 | — |
| JustBot0xe33b…6de8 | No | 18 | 43.4¢ | $4 | — |
| anya-qui3710x46bb…6d65 | Yes | 5 | 72.8¢ | $4 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 16 | 25.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 6s0o2a9w6lh90x791c…b3b7 | Yes | 4 | 78.5¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | 4 | 74.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Kaiachee10x4440…ecfa | Yes | 4 | 77.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$4.91 per $100 · 684 bets |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | No | 11 | 20.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.59 per $100 · 8,855 bets |
| ngok9960xe1a9…339e | No | 10 | 28.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xa06e…d147 | No | 7 | 27.8¢ | $2 | — |
| anonymousey0x8fdf…af9e | No | 7 | 28.8¢ | $2 | — |
| TurnerHodler0xe3f8…eaf6 | Yes | 2 | 75.8¢ | $2 | — |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 6 | 25.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.92 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| 0xd501…1814 | Yes | 2 | 71.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 1 | 77.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 5 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Zampolit0xd975…c2a8 | Yes | 1 | 75.7¢ | $1 | — |
| MrBrownStar0x137a…27c9 | Yes | 1 | 71.8¢ | $1 | — |
| freeeman0x0566…11a2 | Yes | 1 | 75.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Jaina-Proudmoore0x90bb…0273 | Yes | 1 | 75.7¢ | $1 | — |
| mr-eco0xa2a4…c3ad | Yes | 1 | 75.7¢ | $1 | — |
| BlackHats0x23a5…7914 | Yes | 1 | 76.7¢ | $1 | — |
| korda770xa328…4977 | No | 4 | 28.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| Wheaternopls0x8b0d…9501 | No | 2 | 24.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x86dd…1af2 | No | 1 | 22.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | 1 | 25.5¢ | $0 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 0 | 27.0¢ | $0 | — |
| jnmtm0x0ef5…e92f | No | 0 | 31.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | No | 0 | 32.0¢ | $0 | — |
| R19hehe0xd0ae…73dd | No | 0 | 30.0¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 0 | 24.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,319 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 692 events · $32.4M in play