Market · 1 of 9 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| johnashbough0xef13…63d9 | Yes | 195 | 73.8¢ | $133 | — |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 145 | 50.6¢ | $46 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| bonalddrunk0x3089…92f6 | No | 91 | 41.2¢ | $29 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 930 bets |
| Wildanimal0x147c…efd6 | Yes | 40 | 81.8¢ | $27 | — |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | 33 | 67.6¢ | $23 | — |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | Yes | 30 | 72.0¢ | $20 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.