Market · 7 of 9 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 647 | 81.1¢ | $553 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| eqzwe103qwie0x38a5…e97f | No | 104 | 77.8¢ | $89 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 519 | 17.2¢ | $75 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 65 | 92.0¢ | $56 | — |
| rocky420080x79dc…ca77 | Yes | 122 | 18.0¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | No | 9 | 79.3¢ | $8 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.