Market · 7 of 9 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 647 | 81.1¢ | $550 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| eqzwe103qwie0x38a5…e97f | No | 104 | 77.8¢ | $88 | Proven+$2.78 per $100 · 473 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 519 | 17.2¢ | $78 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 65 | 92.0¢ | $55 | — |
| rocky420080x79dc…ca77 | Yes | 122 | 18.0¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 51 | 21.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | No | 9 | 79.3¢ | $8 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
| timeistmoney0xf0ed…87b1 | No | 9 | 69.0¢ | $7 | — |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | Yes | 40 | 19.0¢ | $6 | — |
| MrYanDao0x468b…68a5 | Yes | 34 | 18.7¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.07 per $100 · 2,638 bets |
| chaosj880xca12…ea03 | No | 5 | 79.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.86 per $100 · 3,013 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 26 | 20.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 16 | 18.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 11 | 18.4¢ | $2 | — |
| G24L80x8a51…51a2 | Yes | 10 | 20.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | 5 | 9.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$15.49 per $100 · 4,509 bets |
| yrnmv0xcc37…afb6 | Yes | 3 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 1 | 10.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | Yes | 1 | 19.0¢ | $0 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 0 | 78.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.