Market · 4 of 9 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 272 | 41.2¢ | $97 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| Whywix0x2fe7…03e0 | No | 120 | 59.4¢ | $78 | — |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 54 | 71.2¢ | $35 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | No | 45 | 56.8¢ | $29 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | No | 21 | 62.0¢ | $14 | — |
| hopolopop0x5735…239d | No | 20 | 65.1¢ | $13 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.