Market · 4 of 9 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 292 | 40.7¢ | $94 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| Whywix0x2fe7…03e0 | No | 120 | 59.4¢ | $82 | — |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 54 | 71.2¢ | $37 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | No | 45 | 56.8¢ | $31 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | No | 21 | 62.0¢ | $14 | — |
| hopolopop0x5735…239d | No | 20 | 65.1¢ | $14 | — |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | No | 20 | 66.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
| title10xbe74…a70e | No | 20 | 65.1¢ | $14 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 7,501 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 62.0¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,129 bets |
| johnashbough0xef13…63d9 | No | 13 | 76.9¢ | $9 | — |
| MrYanDao0x468b…68a5 | No | 13 | 68.1¢ | $9 | Proven+$3.07 per $100 · 2,638 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 20 | 46.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 20 | 47.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| cloverpmq20xbb10…523d | No | 6 | 67.1¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 11 | 42.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| tacor0x033b…5fd4 | Yes | 6 | 36.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$4.88 per $100 · 202 bets |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 2 | 59.0¢ | $2 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 3 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 3 | 36.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| PerformSleepState0xbdad…3ef7 | No | 1 | 55.2¢ | $1 | — |
| StevieKiwi0xe9f3…c4a6 | No | 1 | 48.0¢ | $1 | — |
| mavsgseguritas0x5768…3bae | Yes | 2 | 47.2¢ | $1 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 59.0¢ | $0 | — |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | No | 0 | 55.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.