Market · 3 of 9 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 191 | 42.6¢ | $80 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 112 | 49.3¢ | $65 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| thursdays0x04dc…2387 | No | 101 | 53.2¢ | $59 | Positive+$1.41 per $100 · 3,275 bets |
| Whywix0x2fe7…03e0 | No | 88 | 54.9¢ | $51 | — |
| johnashbough0xef13…63d9 | Yes | 107 | 57.5¢ | $45 | — |
| bonalddrunk0x3089…92f6 | No | 71 | 55.0¢ | $41 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.