Market · 8 of 9 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 50 | 94.0¢ | $46 | — |
| MrYanDao0x468b…68a5 | No | 34 | 79.8¢ | $31 | — |
| mavsgseguritas0x5768…3bae | No | 20 | 77.0¢ | $18 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 13 | 89.0¢ | $12 | — |
| G24L80x8a51…51a2 | No | 10 | 75.0¢ | $9 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 107 | 12.7¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.