Market · 2 of 9 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 366 | 41.0¢ | $225 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,667 bets |
| Started-with-20-USD0x4388…5050 | Yes | 187 | 59.6¢ | $115 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 116 | 48.8¢ | $71 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,027 bets |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 156 | 39.1¢ | $60 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| bonalddrunk0x3089…92f6 | No | 143 | 47.2¢ | $55 | — |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 86 | 54.0¢ | $33 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.