Market · 2 of 9 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 06:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 366 | 41.0¢ | $191 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,668 bets |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 359 | 50.9¢ | $172 | Losing−$3.77 per $100 · 23,410 bets |
| Started-with-20-USD0x4388…5050 | Yes | 187 | 59.6¢ | $97 | Proven+$14.81 per $100 · 3,730 bets |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 156 | 39.1¢ | $75 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| bonalddrunk0x3089…92f6 | No | 143 | 47.2¢ | $69 | Losing−$6.72 per $100 · 933 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 116 | 48.8¢ | $60 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,899+ bets · updating |
| alamedamemola0x037b…a36f | Yes | 100 | 55.4¢ | $52 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 97 | 53.4¢ | $50 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 86 | 54.0¢ | $41 | — |
| 7figtc0x6a90…c2e3 | No | 54 | 61.9¢ | $26 | — |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | No | 50 | 45.0¢ | $24 | — |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | Yes | 38 | 59.7¢ | $20 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
| 0xd356…963d | Yes | 20 | 25.9¢ | $10 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 20 | 52.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,245 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 20 | 43.5¢ | $9 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| mavsgseguritas0x5768…3bae | No | 19 | 44.0¢ | $9 | — |
| johnashbough0xef13…63d9 | No | 18 | 39.2¢ | $8 | — |
| johncashi0x977a…4b41 | No | 11 | 46.0¢ | $5 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 6 | 67.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| timeistmoney0xf0ed…87b1 | Yes | 5 | 29.0¢ | $2 | — |
| thursdays0x04dc…2387 | No | 5 | 39.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.41 per $100 · 3,275 bets |
| 0xf965…ccb0 | Yes | 3 | 59.2¢ | $2 | New34 settled bets |
| tacor0x033b…5fd4 | Yes | 2 | 62.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.04 per $100 · 256 bets |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | No | 0 | 36.1¢ | $0 | — |
| felton37Fingerlime40x54b2…478a | Yes | 0 | 69.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.