Market · 9 of 9 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanjirooo0x7c9d…acff | No | 160 | 96.3¢ | $156 | Positive+$1.79 per $100 · 452 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 100 | 97.9¢ | $97 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 20 | 93.9¢ | $19 | — |
| aimei0xd3ec…7631 | No | 19 | 89.0¢ | $19 | — |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 100 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,667 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 70 | 4.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.