Market · 9 of 9 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanjirooo0x7c9d…acff | No | 160 | 96.3¢ | $156 | Positive+$1.79 per $100 · 452 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 100 | 97.9¢ | $97 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 20 | 93.9¢ | $19 | — |
| aimei0xd3ec…7631 | No | 19 | 89.0¢ | $19 | — |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 100 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,668 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 70 | 4.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,233+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 31 | 6.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 1.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 25 | 18.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 15 | 17.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | Yes | 10 | 12.2¢ | $0 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | Yes | 10 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| hjhjhjhjhjhjhj0xc88a…7e26 | Yes | 8 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.