Market · 8 of 9 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 50 | 94.0¢ | $48 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
| Constancefung0x9a5d…4261 | No | 50 | 94.3¢ | $48 | Positive+$1.53 per $100 · 833 bets |
| MrYanDao0x468b…68a5 | No | 34 | 79.8¢ | $32 | Proven+$3.07 per $100 · 2,638 bets |
| mavsgseguritas0x5768…3bae | No | 20 | 77.0¢ | $19 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 13 | 89.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| G24L80x8a51…51a2 | No | 10 | 75.0¢ | $10 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 107 | 12.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 6.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 20 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 0xbbf6…7de7 | Yes | 9 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 7 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | Yes | 4 | 26.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.