Market · 3 of 9 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 191 | 42.6¢ | $76 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 112 | 49.3¢ | $67 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| thursdays0x04dc…2387 | No | 101 | 53.2¢ | $61 | Positive+$1.41 per $100 · 3,275 bets |
| Whywix0x2fe7…03e0 | No | 88 | 54.9¢ | $53 | — |
| johnashbough0xef13…63d9 | Yes | 107 | 57.5¢ | $43 | — |
| bonalddrunk0x3089…92f6 | No | 71 | 55.0¢ | $43 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 60 | 60.0¢ | $36 | — |
| POB10xb431…82ec | Yes | 41 | 50.2¢ | $16 | — |
| timeistmoney0xf0ed…87b1 | Yes | 33 | 22.0¢ | $13 | — |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | 30 | 47.3¢ | $12 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| tacor0x033b…5fd4 | Yes | 21 | 29.1¢ | $8 | Losing−$4.88 per $100 · 202 bets |
| peachgoma0x2e3d…6aa1 | No | 10 | 58.5¢ | $6 | — |
| MrYanDao0x468b…68a5 | Yes | 13 | 41.2¢ | $5 | — |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 5 | 66.7¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | 3 | 44.0¢ | $1 | — |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | No | 2 | 44.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | No | 0 | 56.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | No | 0 | 60.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.