Market · 1 of 9 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| johnashbough0xef13…63d9 | Yes | 195 | 73.8¢ | $133 | — |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 145 | 50.6¢ | $46 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| bonalddrunk0x3089…92f6 | No | 91 | 41.2¢ | $29 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 930 bets |
| Wildanimal0x147c…efd6 | Yes | 40 | 81.8¢ | $27 | — |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | 33 | 67.6¢ | $23 | — |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | Yes | 30 | 72.0¢ | $20 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 57 | 35.8¢ | $18 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 20 | 64.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 20 | 61.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 20 | 66.0¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,396 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 35 | 42.0¢ | $11 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 20 | 42.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| 0x3ff7…2fa2 | No | 5 | 34.1¢ | $2 | — |
| cpctbusiness0x8807…d08a | No | 5 | 42.2¢ | $2 | — |
| mavsgseguritas0x5768…3bae | No | 1 | 26.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 23.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | Yes | 0 | 75.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.75 per $100 · 16,321 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.