Market · 1 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | No | 700 | 91.0¢ | $592 | Losing−$7.75 per $100 · 16,321 bets |
| Alicie0x4d58…8679 | No | 520 | 90.0¢ | $439 | — |
| Started-with-20-USD0x4388…5050 | Yes | 1,947 | 10.0¢ | $302 | Proven+$14.81 per $100 · 3,730 bets |
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | No | 220 | 66.6¢ | $186 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,100 bets |
| amqu0x951a…3bf0 | No | 203 | 79.8¢ | $171 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 162 | 90.0¢ | $137 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| Digital-Boy0xfe41…9f23 | No | 112 | 90.0¢ | $95 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 4,338 bets |
| BornAgain260x978e…80bc | No | 100 | 78.9¢ | $85 | — |
| 0x54c2…500d | No | 80 | 90.0¢ | $68 | — |
| leadernew0x9c2d…1b16 | No | 64 | 91.0¢ | $54 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 64 | 90.0¢ | $54 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 31 | 91.0¢ | $26 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 91.0¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 21 | 84.0¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| misha-d10x040a…118d | No | 20 | 59.2¢ | $17 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 59 | 52.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 57 | 24.9¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 53 | 52.0¢ | $8 | — |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | Yes | 49 | 14.8¢ | $8 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 43 | 33.5¢ | $7 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 33 | 28.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| Leonidas110x3d70…e9b0 | Yes | 20 | 50.0¢ | $3 | — |
| HosoTrader0x5ad9…f29d | Yes | 20 | 52.0¢ | $3 | — |
| GotGreenWood0x88d9…35c7 | Yes | 20 | 34.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 20 | 52.0¢ | $3 | — |
| mtmanychoices0x0a58…0a16 | No | 1 | 79.8¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 5 | 24.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| brra0x9435…91fd | Yes | 1 | 23.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 1 | 11.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
| mavsgseguritas0x5768…3bae | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play