Market · 4 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 6.3¢ | +2.1 pts |
| $10,000 | 37.3¢ | +33.1 pts |
| $100,000 | 46.9¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 46.9¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 4¢.
About $528 can be bought and $309 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 4.2¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 14:55 UTC.
5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play