Market · 6 of 15 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 33.0¢ | +29.7 pts |
| $10,000 | 77.0¢ | +73.6 pts |
| $100,000 | 85.4¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 85.4¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 2¢.
About $15 can be bought and $20 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 3.4¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 04:34 UTC.
5-Year Treasury Yield Peak · 2026 · 2 events · $48.8K in play