Market · 3 of 10 outcomes
Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 634 | 71.9¢ | $542 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 100 | 70.0¢ | $86 | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 90 | 74.0¢ | $77 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,307 bets |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | Yes | 500 | 36.0¢ | $72 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 119 | 25.1¢ | $17 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 20 | 92.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
US 2028 presidential race · 14 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 10 outcomes add up to 88.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.