Market · 1 of 10 outcomes
Will J.D. Vance be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | No | 200 | 94.5¢ | $143 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 256 | 10.4¢ | $73 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 100 | 35.0¢ | $28 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 34 | 74.1¢ | $24 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 28 | 71.7¢ | $20 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 43 | 28.5¢ | $12 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
These 10 outcomes add up to 101.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.