Market · 1 of 10 outcomes
Will J.D. Vance be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | No | 200 | 94.5¢ | $143 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 256 | 10.4¢ | $73 | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 100 | 35.0¢ | $28 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 34 | 74.1¢ | $24 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 28 | 71.7¢ | $20 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 43 | 28.5¢ | $12 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 40 | 28.9¢ | $11 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 24 | 8.6¢ | $7 | — |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 5 | 76.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Tirante0x4d17…a23c | Yes | 6 | 16.5¢ | $2 | — |
| tachyo0x5afc…2995 | No | 2 | 94.2¢ | $1 | — |
| WMNB0x66ec…3adf | Yes | 5 | 38.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 1 | 89.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 1 | 84.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 1 | 74.0¢ | $1 | — |
| eme100xa270…ecad | Yes | 1 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 1 | 8.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| D2222222220x8998…2707 | No | 0 | 72.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.