Market · 4 of 10 outcomes
Will Donald Trump be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | No | 400 | 93.8¢ | $369 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 120 | 8.6¢ | $9 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 103 | 3.2¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0x282f…88b5 | Yes | 73 | 14.2¢ | $6 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 71 | 8.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| HornyBibi0x708d…ea78 | Yes | 61 | 4.6¢ | $5 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 10 outcomes add up to 93.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.