Market · 3 of 10 outcomes
Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 634 | 71.9¢ | $542 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 100 | 70.0¢ | $86 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 90 | 74.0¢ | $77 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | Yes | 500 | 36.0¢ | $72 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 119 | 25.1¢ | $17 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 20 | 92.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 98 | 22.4¢ | $14 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 80 | 23.4¢ | $12 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
| eme100xa270…ecad | Yes | 62 | 2.0¢ | $9 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 40 | 11.0¢ | $6 | — |
| shoobadooba180x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | 34 | 36.0¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 30 | 31.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,445 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 5 | 84.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,209 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 24 | 8.6¢ | $3 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 20 | 36.0¢ | $3 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 20 | 36.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Pola3tst0x57ee…8416 | Yes | 9 | 32.0¢ | $1 | — |
| pol5lon0x6fe7…dbee | Yes | 9 | 31.0¢ | $1 | — |
| pmlp0xc3a2…d0bd | Yes | 9 | 33.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1bbc…58cb | No | 1 | 86.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 77sfds0xbed5…0483 | No | 0 | 75.0¢ | $0 | — |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | Yes | 1 | 15.5¢ | $0 | — |
| D2222222220x8998…2707 | No | 0 | 60.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 76dgdf0x93bc…c5be | Yes | 0 | 22.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nonono0010xb546…ca22 | No | 0 | 64.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 76.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 15 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.