Market · 14 of 35 outcomes
Will Ted Cruz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gohst0x2d4b…ca7a | No | 169 | 59.0¢ | $166 | Proven+$80.31 per $100 · 2,060 bets |
| Gigachain16220x976a…e8ec | No | 151 | 91.8¢ | $148 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| oliman20xc684…2228 |
| No |
| 128 |
| 93.0¢ |
| $126 |
| Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| Totobo0xe196…549a | Yes | 584 | 31.7¢ | $10 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 285 | 0.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 268 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 35 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
23 more outcomes in this event.
These 35 outcomes add up to 102.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.