Market · 14 of 35 outcomes
Will Ted Cruz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gohst0x2d4b…ca7a | No | 169 | 59.0¢ | $166 | Proven+$80.31 per $100 · 2,060 bets |
| Gigachain16220x976a…e8ec | No | 151 | 91.8¢ | $148 | — |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 128 | 93.0¢ | $125 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| Totobo0xe196…549a | Yes | 584 | 31.7¢ | $12 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 285 | 0.0¢ | $6 | New0 settled bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 268 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 4 | 98.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x8340...b29B0x8340…b29b | Yes | 128 | 7.3¢ | $3 | — |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 100 | 0.7¢ | $2 | — |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 88 | 1.2¢ | $2 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 84 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 67 | 1.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| stra-l110x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | 52 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| VonVonagh0xeace…38b9 | Yes | 50 | 8.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7009…390a | Yes | 30 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| niglette0x23ed…aebc | Yes | 27 | 3.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 8.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x0d3d…aa93 | Yes | 20 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 20 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| lifeisahighway0x6a5a…ac7d | Yes | 20 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 20 | 8.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 15 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,633 bets |
| ontouch0x605e…8b39 | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x525e…0b73 | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 37sfdsfsdfds0x1e30…49ae | Yes | 2 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | 2 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 98.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Daseinmit0x72e0…8e57 | Yes | 0 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 0 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 30,847 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 35 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.