Market · 2 of 35 outcomes
Will Greg Abbott be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 295 | 0.0¢ | $51 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 248 | 0.8¢ | $43 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x66e7…8bcd |
| No |
| 50 |
| 96.5¢ |
| $41 |
| Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 230 | 2.5¢ | $40 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| 0x71e1…45f0 | No | 41 | 89.4¢ | $34 | Proven+$4.44 per $100 · 735 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 134 | 0.8¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 35 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
23 more outcomes in this event.
These 35 outcomes add up to 106.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.