Market · 11 of 35 outcomes
Will Tucker Carlson be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 295 | 0.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 231 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 4 | 98.2¢ | $4 | — |
| gatschmahala0xb626…2138 | Yes | 137 | 3.8¢ | $3 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 134 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 100 | 0.7¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $63.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 35 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
23 more outcomes in this event.
These 35 outcomes add up to 95.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.