Market · 12 of 35 outcomes
Will Tucker Carlson be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 295 | 0.0¢ | $6 | New0 settled bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 231 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,099 bets |
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 4 | 98.2¢ | $4 | — |
| gatschmahala0xb626…2138 | Yes | 137 | 3.8¢ | $3 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 134 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 100 | 0.7¢ | $2 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 99 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 84 | 1.2¢ | $2 | Proven+$94.70 per $100 · 198 bets |
| niglette0x23ed…aebc | Yes | 63 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 47 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 42 | 2.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.56 per $100 · 124,139 bets |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 41 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| stra-l110x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | 32 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7009…390a | Yes | 30 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 20 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 20 | 5.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,956 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 15 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 15 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,660 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,927 bets |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | Yes | 9 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x525e…0b73 | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ontouch0x605e…8b39 | No | 0 | 97.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | 2 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 49ddgfd0x9070…e32c | Yes | 0 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 30,847 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 14 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 35 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.