Market · 8 of 23 outcomes
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 668 events · $32.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 58 | 93.2¢ | $58 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| pregamee0xa88d…9830 | Yes | 100,000 | 0.1¢ | $50 | — |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 83,798 | 0.1¢ | $42 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| chatgpt.com0x4fad…1480 | No | 40 | 89.1¢ | $40 | Losing−$4.42 per $100 · 8,366 bets |
| Protrad0x409f…543a | Yes | 37,500 | 0.1¢ | $19 | Losing−$1.43 per $100 · 367 bets |
| gopay0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| puipui24860x70d9…a684 | Yes | 29,249 | 2.2¢ | $15 | Positive+$28.53 per $100 · 4,038 bets |
| 99problems1230x0042…321e | Yes | 17,757 | 0.2¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 465 bets |
| hjgtgg0xe82a…9edc | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 7 | 99.8¢ | $7 | — |
| yangguang05110x58fd…43a6 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$18.29 per $100 · 7,766 bets |
| caviaro0xb36b…7804 | Yes | 8,009 | 0.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$4.76 per $100 · 867 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 7,609 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 18,818 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 7,415 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 7,169 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.61 per $100 · 87,306 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 6,562 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,224 bets |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 6,033 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 5,659 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.68 per $100 · 56,784 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 4,670 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,620 bets |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 4,167 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| KaraBall15190x46f5…b461 | No | 2 | 90.5¢ | $2 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,854 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,406 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 3,587 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| 0x93dd…2b33 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 2,747 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 2,500 | 2.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 2,126 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| DonaldEllison10110x1b64…bd0e | No | 1 | 89.9¢ | $1 | — |
| MariaMoss39070x45ff…bab6 | No | 1 | 89.9¢ | $1 | — |
| MelissaBoone87350x4984…69d2 | No | 1 | 89.9¢ | $1 | — |
| EricFields58000xa232…175f | No | 1 | 89.9¢ | $1 | — |
| SheliaHolland62120xb547…a237 | No | 1 | 90.5¢ | $1 | — |
| BlakeDiaz11510xc895…9bfa | No | 1 | 89.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 1,650 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.63 per $100 · 3,766 bets |
| wastedgg0x300b…8e51 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,443 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,436 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| rocky420100x84d7…298f | Yes | 1,249 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.82 per $100 · 9,913 bets |
| YatoShura0x4fff…8c1f | Yes | 1,179 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 1,144 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| 0x12356510x1bfb…8bea | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 3,828 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.36 per $100 · 22,813 bets |
| 0x43cd…bf40 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$10.38 per $100 · 360 bets |
| 0x4c63…185c | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.38 per $100 · 9,404 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 920 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 807 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 779 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| 0x551b…b47e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 355 bets |
| avengers2357avengers0xf95e…ec50 | Yes | 724 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 705 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 30,125+ bets · updating |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 674 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 627 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| user-820x5732…461d | Yes | 620 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 543 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,296 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 519 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| 0x66fb…0cc9 | Yes | 500 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| makt9b0x7b9a…f9d7 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa3a9…dc0a | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcb97…ac71 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xdaf9…dba5 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6a07…2952 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9b4b…591c | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3317…76b4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xaced…7eb5 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9120…2fcc | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Laurentdepau0x38ab…ab66 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e7c…f06f | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd786…d09e | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| jeanmermier0x1e63…7267 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8220…92a5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| influenz.eth0xe8dd…ec86 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 29,730+ bets · updating |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa158…1c1b | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| lonelyfighter0x97c6…6587 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x01d2…c603 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x72e0…0b96 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| sebelmaestro0x1a96…9797 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 5,892 bets |
| 0x2f6d…9e53 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| pzojfvzblg0x00b2…fa96 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| eeqbvqnxkl0x874f…6ae3 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2c78…adf3 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| bqpzntoqi0xc59c…6fa0 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| qvyjmveevi0x2953…2aa3 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| nullpointa0xc617…0d15 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| RevolvingGames0x5eec…8efa | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| abubakersylar0x02b3…deb5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x227b…76f9 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| fauzitok20x2795…c226 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| pavvzyk0x3814…f0bf | No | 0 | 85.8¢ | $0 | — |
| shine0xe4cf…78c4 | Yes | 0 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | Yes | 0 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.