Market · 10 of 11 outcomes
Will Stephen A. Smith be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 95 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 84 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| hesure0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | 50 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 49 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 35 | 8.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 20 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,285 bets |
These 11 outcomes add up to 101.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.