Market · 9 of 11 outcomes
Will Josh Shapiro be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | Yes | 172 | 1.3¢ | $3 | — |
| hesure0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | 50 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 35 |
| 8.3¢ |
| $1 |
| Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 33 | 2.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 24 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $63.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 11 outcomes add up to 101.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.