Market · 9 of 11 outcomes
Will Josh Shapiro be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | Yes | 172 | 1.3¢ | $3 | — |
| hesure0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | 50 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 35 | 8.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,445 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 33 | 2.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,171 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 24 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,307 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 8 | 7.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 0x0c9b…e768 | Yes | 0 | 19.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | Yes | 0 | 6.3¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 8.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 158,863+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 14 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.