Market · 11 of 11 outcomes
Will Stephen A. Smith be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 95 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 84 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| hesure0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | 50 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 49 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 35 | 8.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.56 per $100 · 124,139 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 20 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,295 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 15 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| dognamedreggi0x9704…8f9e | Yes | 6 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 5 | 7.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| ConfusedUngaBunga0x1e10…beee | Yes | 4 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$39.85 per $100 · 6,237 bets |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | Yes | 0 | 6.3¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 8.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 158,618 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 14 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.