Market · 8 of 22 outcomes
Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 57 | 99.7¢ | $57 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
| yjhghg0x355d…e9fc | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 3,614 | 0.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 1,399 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 1,020 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| fudbiFedukSp0x7a41…4cb9 | No | 1 | 98.9¢ | $1 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 951 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,311 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 627 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,633 bets |
| 0xwhaleshark0x2179…bedb | Yes | 608 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$26.70 per $100 · 964 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 577 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 469 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 417 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 370 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 18,335 bets |
| Uffblya0x2a8b…4b22 | Yes | 370 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$11.08 per $100 · 1,315 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 354 | 1.3¢ | $0 | New0 settled bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 316 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.61 per $100 · 87,313 bets |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 300 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 226 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 206 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| lorenzcurve0x1c13…c371 | Yes | 151 | 0.0¢ | $0 | New40 settled bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 140 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| 0x16c7…22cd | Yes | 102 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.Sharif0x4fad…ef43 | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.97 per $100 · 7,458 bets |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 100 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 95 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 90 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | 90 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 85 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Binotto0xdd9e…49b3 | Yes | 77 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$19.17 per $100 · 1,659 bets |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 62 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 58 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| mymacbook0x0999…dd96 | Yes | 56 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 50 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| emapol40x688f…f544 | Yes | 47 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| asfdt110x7e4c…1cf9 | Yes | 45 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 38 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 37 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 33 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 31 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| pestanimal0x7bbf…7ce5 | Yes | 21 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| a5tthsyuo3c0x841c…b20d | Yes | 20 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 12 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xde76…215d | Yes | 11 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 10 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| 0x1e05…d4fa | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 674 events · $32.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.