Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 250 | 72.0¢ | $176 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 100 | 73.0¢ | $70 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | Yes | 201 | 29.0¢ | $59 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 102 | 29.1¢ | $30 | Positive+$7.23 per $100 · 10,676 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 20 | 73.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| SquirrelTheMerchant0xfb59…83f9 | Yes | 39 | 29.0¢ | $12 | Proven+$18.69 per $100 · 273 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 30.0¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| mvmca16110x3744…d422 | No | 1 | 71.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Lucky-Cet0x42d0…4bc6 | No | 1 | 50.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Carabao0x24bf…b12e | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 29.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
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