Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 1,006 | 20.3¢ | $448 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,624 bets |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | No | 217 | 51.4¢ | $120 | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 91 | 54.2¢ | $51 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 75 | 29.2¢ | $33 | — |
| HenriIV0x8d85…726f | Yes | 75 | 46.0¢ | $33 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 53 | 47.0¢ | $24 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 40 | 72.0¢ | $22 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 80.0¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,452 bets |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 45 | 35.3¢ | $20 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 31 | 37.6¢ | $14 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 28 | 29.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 20 | 61.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| Bot13650xf855…6007 | No | 20 | 62.2¢ | $11 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Yes | 23 | 29.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 18 | 63.1¢ | $10 | — |
| ilovecarrots0x03e1…e180 | Yes | 20 | 47.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 2,068 bets |
| Userjfdhferuh0xeff4…f43b | Yes | 20 | 47.0¢ | $9 | — |
| EuropeLiquidity0xf2ee…bdff | Yes | 20 | 47.0¢ | $9 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 20 | 48.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 20 | 25.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| crayven0x2aac…dfad | No | 12 | 83.7¢ | $7 | Proven+$5.71 per $100 · 922 bets |
| rocky420180xeda0…7dff | Yes | 15 | 43.0¢ | $7 | — |
| UpTheStairs0x8bac…5b0e | Yes | 12 | 46.9¢ | $5 | — |
| t0814820x6675…4d93 | Yes | 11 | 46.0¢ | $5 | — |
| kirby260xa0d3…5b5e | No | 6 | 82.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.53 per $100 · 3,226 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 6 | 62.2¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| BreaktheChain0x0182…810a | No | 5 | 58.0¢ | $3 | — |
| fi5h0xe450…91b9 | No | 5 | 82.7¢ | $3 | — |
| POB10xb431…82ec | No | 4 | 82.0¢ | $2 | — |
| asdadzxcxx0x1790…315b | Yes | 5 | 21.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.99 per $100 · 1,222 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 3 | 66.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| ningmenghua0xa966…3336 | No | 2 | 94.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1bbc…58cb | No | 1 | 85.6¢ | $1 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 1 | 23.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 85.6¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 0 | 19.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 14,399 bets |
| 0x6b0b…ca40 | No | 0 | 54.2¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 29.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| abunyee0x78b6…bc74 | Yes | 0 | 46.0¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,327 bets |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | No | 0 | 80.0¢ | $0 | — |
| polesk88880x7a5c…767b | No | 0 | 80.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.76 per $100 · 4,882 bets |
| napamen0x8494…814a | No | 0 | 80.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 80.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| the-260-Challenge0xcb58…ccd0 | No | 0 | 80.0¢ | $0 | — |
| luisotavio03120xcc36…d35d | No | 0 | 59.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Fed decision · December 2026 · 3 events · $474K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.