Market · 21 of 22 outcomes
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa2bf…95d3 | No | 692 | 84.0¢ | $680 | — |
| 0xf80e…2af8 | No | 365 | 86.4¢ | $359 | Proven+$16.72 per $100 · 124 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 349 |
| 36.0¢ |
| $343 |
| Proven+$17.46 per $100 · 571 bets |
| Fulgurator0x0130…274c | No | 295 | 92.9¢ | $290 | New87 settled bets |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | No | 217 | 23.0¢ | $214 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | No | 180 | 87.4¢ | $177 | — |
| stra-l110x4b81…f9b6 | No | 177 | 5.1¢ | $174 | — |
| ghoan0x897a…4194 | No | 142 | 77.4¢ | $139 | — |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | No | 48 | 10.0¢ | $47 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 28 | 80.0¢ | $28 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 618 | 82.0¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| RobotAlpha0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | 558 | 18.3¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 753 bets |
| 0xd660…e8d9 | No | 8 | 66.9¢ | $7 | — |
| Bojigle0x315d…1b39 | No | 5 | 14.0¢ | $5 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 243 | 11.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 4 | 56.3¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 4 | 99.5¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | Yes | 220 | 64.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 134 | 2.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 85 | 2.7¢ | $1 | — |
| StraddleSeller0x5207…686b | Yes | 59 | 17.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$18.06 per $100 · 506 bets |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 50 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 50 | 9.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| ScottsRoad0xcceb…f030 | Yes | 50 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| rondon890x2177…3fb4 | Yes | 44 | 65.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.29 per $100 · 226 bets |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | No | 1 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 39 | 86.4¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 36 | 4.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,382+ bets · updating |
| Qwertie0x3759…3911 | Yes | 35 | 15.0¢ | $1 | New61 settled bets |
| t11r0x3ecc…52d2 | Yes | 27 | 15.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7618…e714 | Yes | 26 | 79.7¢ | $0 | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 25 | 16.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| mrdonaldo0xa284…fbba | Yes | 24 | 89.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.76 per $100 · 543 bets |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 24 | 14.1¢ | $0 | — |
| pbezukhov0xf56e…f316 | Yes | 21 | 22.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe750…4850 | Yes | 12 | 79.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 12 | 18.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,067 bets |
| 0x3c9f…c5dc | Yes | 11 | 81.6¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | Yes | 10 | 28.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| dij10x77bd…e48f | Yes | 10 | 75.5¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | Yes | 10 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| qcp10x9f44…7470 | Yes | 9 | 65.0¢ | $0 | — |
| t.rex0x034e…60ce | Yes | 9 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4d1e…e714 | Yes | 7 | 82.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1fc2…8015 | Yes | 7 | 81.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa08e…379b | Yes | 6 | 82.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8996…1d00 | Yes | 5 | 81.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6d74…62f9 | Yes | 5 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x31a6…0632 | Yes | 4 | 81.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x31c9…4ab5 | Yes | 3 | 81.6¢ | $0 | — |
| crn10x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | 3 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc5f4…8942 | Yes | 3 | 81.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb56b…abb7 | Yes | 3 | 81.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcc1a…7044 | Yes | 3 | 81.6¢ | $0 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 3 | 17.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| 0x0ab4…7d63 | Yes | 2 | 81.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xce9c…8d4e | Yes | 2 | 81.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xaac9…f1a8 | Yes | 2 | 81.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7077…7a71 | Yes | 2 | 81.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x57b9…0464 | Yes | 2 | 79.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4e1d…3fbf | Yes | 1 | 81.6¢ | $0 | — |
| moerz8swipuo0xfc03…4a07 | Yes | 1 | 82.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1ba4…2e02 | No | 0 | 21.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcec4…9258 | Yes | 0 | 77.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ImNotBetting0x686d…1a68 | Yes | 0 | 21.7¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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US 2026 midterms · 726 events · $33.3M in play