Market · 27 of 42 outcomes
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 11:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
30 more outcomes in this event.
French Presidential Election · 2027 · 1 event · $3.11M in play
Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 935 | 99.6¢ | $934 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,995 bets |
| MustafaIskander0xa0ad…aa1e | No | 612 | 99.8¢ | $612 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 404,600 | 0.8¢ | $202 | Positive+$120.85 per $100 · 643 bets |
| milchi030x4a42…fab9 | Yes | 318,575 | 0.5¢ | $159 | — |
| AmartheF0x7484…8a30 | No | 60 | 99.8¢ | $60 | — |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 109,763 | 0.7¢ | $55 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.