Market · 27 of 42 outcomes
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 13:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
French Presidential Election · 2027 · 1 event · $3.11M in play
Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 935 | 99.6¢ | $934 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,999 bets |
| MustafaIskander0xa0ad…aa1e | No | 612 | 99.8¢ | $612 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 407,100 | 0.8¢ | $204 | Positive+$120.85 per $100 · 643 bets |
| milchi030x4a42…fab9 | Yes | 318,575 | 0.5¢ | $159 | — |
| AmartheF0x7484…8a30 | No | 60 | 99.8¢ | $60 | — |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 109,763 | 0.7¢ | $55 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| chainchainchain0xff59…76c3 | No | 50 | 99.8¢ | $50 | — |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 52,781 | 0.1¢ | $26 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| 0x4be6…77cc | No | 16 | 99.9¢ | $16 | New85 settled bets |
| 0x998b…db96 | Yes | 29,410 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 23,850 | 0.8¢ | $12 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| 0xec1c…ed14 | No | 11 | 99.8¢ | $11 | — |
| strategy10xb3f4…2452 | No | 10 | 99.3¢ | $10 | — |
| 77680x44be…4a02 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 357570xafa0…3edb | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| sincereCoati30x085d…d6a6 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.2¢ | $10 | New6 settled bets |
| jqwef340xc86c…19b3 | No | 9 | 99.7¢ | $9 | — |
| Zypf70x7243…83f0 | Yes | 14,999 | 0.1¢ | $7 | Proven+$6.96 per $100 · 2,721 bets |
| suutramve0x47e9…9579 | No | 7 | 99.8¢ | $7 | — |
| LeVanTr567781630x7c71…38be | No | 7 | 99.8¢ | $7 | — |
| Mondol033848330x91fe…dbd7 | No | 6 | 99.8¢ | $6 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 9,084 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| benbrugger44840x1bfc…0c7f | No | 4 | 99.8¢ | $4 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 7,776 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 7,477 | 0.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$12.25 per $100 · 3,938 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 6,803 | 0.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.48 per $100 · 10,703 bets |
| jowitriviani0x8788…8aa8 | No | 3 | 99.8¢ | $3 | — |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 5,555 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| Rime-Ice0x0209…4ff1 | No | 3 | 99.4¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x095b…9e26 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.3¢ | $3 | — |
| HOG9930xcbba…dbff | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.35 per $100 · 1,761 bets |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$9.99 per $100 · 2,568 bets |
| Jesuschristsuperstar0xfc53…9754 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 4,842 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.04 per $100 · 18,933 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 4,835 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$42.20 per $100 · 2,803 bets |
| 33fg0x4f89…16a3 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 3,937 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$60.07 per $100 · 7,848 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 3,904 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 6,756 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 3,760 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.44 per $100 · 6,528 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 3,087 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,326 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 3,000 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,081 bets |
| aofsosi0x7a58…05f0 | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Rocamado0x7be5…a53b | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 5,395 bets |
| CoffeeDespiser0x629c…6c01 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 2,081 bets |
| snimuslivo4ki0x3008…6d5f | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | New34 settled bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 2,222 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| 0x92cf…e985 | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | — |
| uuio0090x5d1f…1166 | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Crypto-Well0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | 1,688 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$39.23 per $100 · 1,745 bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | 1,345 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,380 bets |
| gesst0xadaf…f9f2 | Yes | 1,200 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Proven+$17.17 per $100 · 568 bets |
| alwayslatetothepartyboy0xc605…ad27 | Yes | 1,125 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 1,081 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,256 bets |
| Abdelpotro0xf1fe…1a96 | Yes | 1,060 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 1,045 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.24 per $100 · 28,703 bets |
| honreserektus0xc69b…1134 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,990 bets |
| Armenia0x1537…c480 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| foxy.0x5f86…a769 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.09 per $100 · 180 bets |
| eleazar0x6e24…8266 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.60 per $100 · 442 bets |
| Kopyfxsghb0xd63c…3728 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| volokolasik3330x7568…daf0 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| tamalaile0x1e69…e777 | Yes | 800 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| BrunoL230x588a…e237 | Yes | 800 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| puipui24860x70d9…a684 | Yes | 758 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$28.52 per $100 · 4,039 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 743 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| tailevent0x87ef…99cd | Yes | 600 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb5af…2b6d | Yes | 600 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Sm10x215a…6bcd | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| malutkajenny0x226d…3aec | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| noslajre0x8731…1181 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Baddie0xc1ff…25f1 | Yes | 500 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| thi3f0xc982…044b | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x156b…baa0 | Yes | 500 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd39c…8d35 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3317…76b4 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| jeanmermier0x1e63…7267 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe36a…671d | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xaced…7eb5 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6a07…2952 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2f6d…9e53 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd786…d09e | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa158…1c1b | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e7c…f06f | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x72e0…0b96 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| honduraslover0xaff3…6ecc | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.79 per $100 · 17,393 bets |
| 0x9b4b…591c | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2c78…adf3 | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| lonelyfighter0x97c6…6587 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
| 0x8220…92a5 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x01d2…c603 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Gr33d0x4b74…e8d7 | No | 0 | 99.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 4,686 bets |
| NuocXin0x5991…28fd | No | 0 | 99.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x227b…76f9 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Laurentdepau0x38ab…ab66 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.