Market · 39 of 42 outcomes
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,139 | 99.9¢ | $1.14K | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 369,200 | 0.8¢ | $185 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 147,139 | 0.4¢ | $74 | Positive+$7.23 per $100 · 10,676 bets |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 110,837 | 0.2¢ | $55 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| Wordsmith0x3659…0451 | Yes | 100,000 | 0.1¢ | $50 | — |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 75,555 | 0.4¢ | $38 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
French Presidential Election · 2027 · 1 event · $3.11M in play
Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
30 more outcomes in this event.