Market · 39 of 42 outcomes
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 20:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
French Presidential Election · 2027 · 1 event · $3.11M in play
Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,139 | 99.9¢ | $1.14K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,039 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 379,200 | 0.8¢ | $190 | Positive+$120.85 per $100 · 643 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 147,139 | 0.4¢ | $74 | Positive+$7.48 per $100 · 10,703 bets |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 110,837 | 0.2¢ | $55 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| Wordsmith0x3659…0451 | Yes | 100,000 | 0.1¢ | $50 | — |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 75,555 | 0.4¢ | $38 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 64,015 | 0.4¢ | $32 | Positive+$9.99 per $100 · 2,568 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 51,000 | 0.1¢ | $26 | Positive+$12.28 per $100 · 3,944 bets |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 36,000 | 0.7¢ | $18 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 15,905 | 0.4¢ | $8 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| EricLeonard510x0c59…28fd | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 12,609 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,570 bets |
| ClaraMann6110x68bb…c303 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| benbrugger44840x1bfc…0c7f | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Baddie0xc1ff…25f1 | Yes | 10,084 | 0.4¢ | $5 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 8,907 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,076 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 6,958 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,512 bets |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 5,555 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 5,466 | 0.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$42.20 per $100 · 2,803 bets |
| HOG9930xcbba…dbff | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.35 per $100 · 1,761 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 4,144 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 6,756 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 3,965 | 0.0¢ | $2 | New0 settled bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,294 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,513 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 3,000 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 66,097 bets |
| LynxTitan0x6814…a9e7 | Yes | 2,878 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 59,740 bets |
| ERN9930x8740…6fac | Yes | 2,816 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.18 per $100 · 849 bets |
| CoffeeDespiser0x629c…6c01 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 2,081 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 2,222 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| waterfall00x67bc…d54e | Yes | 1,943 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 2,474 bets |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 1,848 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| mi6p1qri4m0m0x09ee…0630 | Yes | 1,635 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 1,495 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| 0x1e82…af92 | Yes | 1,480 | 0.0¢ | $1 | — |
| JohnnyTenNumbers0x36f9…7e3b | Yes | 1,462 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$17.30 per $100 · 1,097 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,460 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.44 per $100 · 6,528 bets |
| John35010x0862…c7aa | Yes | 1,430 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| shine0xe4cf…78c4 | Yes | 1,412 | 0.0¢ | $1 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 1,313 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | Yes | 1,215 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
| gesst0xadaf…f9f2 | Yes | 1,200 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Proven+$17.17 per $100 · 568 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 1,067 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,049 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 1,051 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 1,045 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.24 per $100 · 28,703 bets |
| Armenia0x1537…c480 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.44 per $100 · 9,418 bets |
| nidrac20xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | 900 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| pestanimal0x7bbf…7ce5 | Yes | 820 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 743 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Tysha0x9be9…c030 | Yes | 651 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 600 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 9,382 bets |
| DG-NO0x7d24…a93f | Yes | 600 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.58 per $100 · 3,589 bets |
| honduraslover0xaff3…6ecc | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.79 per $100 · 17,393 bets |
| nidrac0xb5e6…45f8 | Yes | 444 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| El-Coronel0x8f9d…1cb9 | Yes | 373 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| aspenmcfarlan0x093f…c6d3 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| shahyesenia0x1900…689c | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| beckerlorn0x222c…3fb6 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| vd70x225c…a441 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| marlonelliott1060xf718…87c0 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.