Market · 18 of 23 outcomes
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| caviaro0xb36b…7804 | Yes | 149,860 | 0.1¢ | $75 | Proven+$4.76 per $100 · 867 bets |
| pregamee0xa88d…9830 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.1¢ | $25 | — |
| gopay0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| puipui24860x70d9…a684 | Yes | 26,706 | 2.2¢ | $13 | Positive+$28.52 per $100 · 4,039 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 21,000 | 0.2¢ | $10 | Positive+$12.24 per $100 · 3,937 bets |
| 64MGX75VLQ0xf4d0…4637 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 1,100 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 14,693 | 0.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 7 | 99.8¢ | $7 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 10,287 | 2.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$8.02 per $100 · 18,931 bets |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 9,999 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$60.07 per $100 · 7,844 bets |
| welcomyfriend0x68e2…30ac | Yes | 8,910 | 0.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$36.99 per $100 · 136 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,785 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 7,474 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,580 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 7,043 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,917 bets |
| qianbei0x2110…45c4 | Yes | 6,200 | 0.3¢ | $3 | New56 settled bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 5,675 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 57,655 bets |
| 0xwhaleshark0x2179…bedb | Yes | 4,863 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$26.70 per $100 · 964 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 4,673 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,061 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 4,044 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,710 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 3,587 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| starys0x76fa…1d80 | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 2,737 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Freedom-BY0xcc7c…1d18 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 725 bets |
| tefano0x527e…6ce5 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 2,000 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.92 per $100 · 2,566 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,792 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 1,650 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 3,807 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,561 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,443 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,075 bets |
| rocky420100x84d7…298f | Yes | 1,249 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.82 per $100 · 9,913 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 1,086 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| 0x12356510x1bfb…8bea | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 3,956 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.36 per $100 · 22,813 bets |
| 0x4c63…185c | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.38 per $100 · 9,404 bets |
| 0xb30f…1391 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| karttitan0xe4f1…9833 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 920 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| TheTradingGuy170x0c6e…de7f | Yes | 834 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 807 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| avengers2357avengers0xf95e…ec50 | Yes | 724 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 705 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.13 per $100 · 58,633+ bets · updating |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 674 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.63 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 627 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,296 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 519 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,120 bets |
| 0xcb97…ac71 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xdaf9…dba5 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe5ab…8b8d | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe77a…1382 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 450 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 450 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 437 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.70 per $100 · 17,596 bets |
| 0x2f6d…9e53 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| jeanmermier0x1e63…7267 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| lonelyfighter0x97c6…6587 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd786…d09e | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd39c…8d35 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa158…1c1b | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| sebelmaestro0x1a96…9797 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 5,892 bets |
| influenz.eth0xe8dd…ec86 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 45,814 bets |
| 0x2c78…adf3 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x72e0…0b96 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Laurentdepau0x38ab…ab66 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6a07…2952 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6cf5…4a23 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe36a…671d | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9b4b…591c | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x227b…76f9 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e7c…f06f | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x01d2…c603 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3317…76b4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9120…2fcc | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| nullpointa0xc617…0d15 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xaced…7eb5 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| bmanzoor8600x3891…d858 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| putrimalihah120x62b3…a535 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| AbdurRa130264820x7a8f…fe68 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| AfiqAdi50x94ad…7746 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| udincukur0xb364…7a97 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| haanhtuan1130xbb26…4a01 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| uied9dnnwfe0xbe23…1910 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| tenitansy0xda12…5fc6 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| bejyvqkri0xfc85…648e | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | Yes | 0 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 727 events · $33.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.