Market · 18 of 19 outcomes
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 288,800 | 0.1¢ | $144 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 155,350 | 1.3¢ | $78 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| kneelbeforetheking0xeb34…7268 | Yes | 111,781 | 1.3¢ | $56 | Positive+$64.56 per $100 · 592 bets |
| GHahn805670x9653…f09d | No | 50 | 99.6¢ | $50 | — |
| KMacauley99470x37d6…9528 | No | 50 | 99.6¢ | $50 | — |
| KennedyRea997990xedff…b635 | No | 50 | 99.6¢ | $50 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
7 more outcomes in this event.
These 19 outcomes add up to 101.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.