Market · 19 of 35 outcomes
Will Josh Hawley be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 4 | 98.2¢ | $4 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 290 | 0.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 196 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,453 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 134 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 117 | 2.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 113 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 35 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
23 more outcomes in this event.
These 35 outcomes add up to 107.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.