Market · 2 of 35 outcomes
Will John Thune be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | No | 100 | 84.1¢ | $85 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,108 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 336 | 1.2¢ | $49 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 126,571+ bets · updating |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 295 | 0.0¢ | $43 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 210 | 0.9¢ | $31 | Losing−$2.85 per $100 · 108,352+ bets · updating |
| rousseauuu0x47c1…825f | Yes | 110 | 0.4¢ | $16 | — |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 100 | 0.7¢ | $15 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 35 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
23 more outcomes in this event.
These 35 outcomes add up to 112.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.