Market · 20 of 35 outcomes
Will Josh Hawley be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 4 | 98.2¢ | $4 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 290 | 0.0¢ | $3 | New0 settled bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 196 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 134 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 117 | 2.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 113 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 100 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,377 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 100 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 72 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0x7009…390a | Yes | 60 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| stra-l110x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | 52 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 50 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 41 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 29 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 29 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,620 bets |
| niglette0x23ed…aebc | Yes | 17 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 15 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| ontouch0x605e…8b39 | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x525e…0b73 | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 6 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | 5 | 5.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$15.49 per $100 · 4,509 bets |
| 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 98.1¢ | $0 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 3 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | 2 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 0 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 30,847 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 35 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.