Market · 1 of 22 outcomes
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 683 events · $32.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 8,292 | 81.3¢ | $6.51K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Yes | 7,161 | 87.9¢ | $5.62K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| fourtimes0x8a69…a197 | Yes | 4,000 | 43.8¢ | $3.14K | — |
| Anonn880xa074…d030 | Yes | 3,675 | 75.9¢ | $2.88K | — |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 3,367 | 75.6¢ | $2.64K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,414 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 10,568 | 23.3¢ | $2.27K | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,391 bets |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 2,287 | 52.9¢ | $1.8K | — |
| lomneivan0x1fee…ed5e | No | 8,016 | 18.7¢ | $1.72K | New74 settled bets |
| annacallsit0x0fc3…1329 | Yes | 2,000 | 77.5¢ | $1.57K | — |
| cmarx0x1733…9411 | Yes | 1,837 | 33.3¢ | $1.44K | Break-even−$0.75 per $100 · 149 bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 1,710 | 87.4¢ | $1.34K | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 575 bets |
| BiDiFakePolls0xd24b…ef76 | Yes | 951 | 77.5¢ | $747 | Proven+$13.35 per $100 · 374 bets |
| 0x6b25…7a69 | No | 3,108 | 14.7¢ | $668 | Proven+$4.03 per $100 · 4,384 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 652 | 65.7¢ | $512 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | 630 | 3.9¢ | $495 | Losing−$5.13 per $100 · 30,404+ bets · updating |
| Mr.Dink0x0ba1…cf36 | Yes | 600 | 17.6¢ | $471 | Break-even−$0.79 per $100 · 133 bets |
| Rasalgethi0x8393…f0ae | Yes | 584 | 2.5¢ | $458 | — |
| insidero0x3eae…5e6d | Yes | 567 | 82.9¢ | $445 | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 514 bets |
| ClaudeIntern0x95b3…1df1 | Yes | 557 | 88.7¢ | $437 | Losing−$13.46 per $100 · 104 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | 545 | 76.8¢ | $428 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| lava-lava0x629b…995a | Yes | 505 | 77.6¢ | $396 | Proven+$7.83 per $100 · 1,847 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 494 | 18.7¢ | $387 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,171 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 1,702 | 19.1¢ | $366 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
| Revadac0x1f4f…792c | Yes | 429 | 7.2¢ | $337 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 1,480 | 67.5¢ | $318 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| 0xa848…8a1f | Yes | 391 | 2.2¢ | $307 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 1,340 | 14.5¢ | $288 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| gertrudeee0x0295…ed9d | Yes | 365 | 77.5¢ | $286 | — |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 343 | 56.6¢ | $269 | Positive+$11.47 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | Yes | 335 | 7.4¢ | $263 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 328 | 26.7¢ | $258 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| 0xe4a2…4763 | Yes | 301 | 84.0¢ | $236 | — |
| petruccci0x9370…9e88 | Yes | 300 | 86.0¢ | $236 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,066 | 18.6¢ | $229 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 277 | 5.6¢ | $217 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| AJK20x014e…3794 | Yes | 240 | 83.8¢ | $189 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 263 bets |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | No | 750 | 13.3¢ | $161 | Losing−$3.01 per $100 · 5,266 bets |
| sleepymonkey0xce4d…d0e2 | Yes | 200 | 5.5¢ | $157 | — |
| Echelonprt0x516d…03e5 | Yes | 179 | 62.9¢ | $141 | Losing−$8.63 per $100 · 872 bets |
| gh6y0omxinx80x0d83…8eb4 | Yes | 174 | 89.4¢ | $136 | Losing−$4.67 per $100 · 1,570 bets |
| magicdogs0x6c4a…bdf8 | Yes | 160 | 77.5¢ | $126 | New40 settled bets |
| lorenzcurve0x1c13…c371 | Yes | 151 | 0.0¢ | $119 | New40 settled bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 147 | 7.9¢ | $115 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,035 bets |
| LeftieFTW0x066a…550d | Yes | 137 | 76.9¢ | $108 | — |
| DuneMentat0x28ca…5d19 | No | 500 | 50.9¢ | $108 | Losing−$1.16 per $100 · 5,584 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | No | 494 | 16.5¢ | $106 | Proven+$11.17 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| 0xb6ce…895d | Yes | 134 | 79.4¢ | $105 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| lexet0xbec4…b075 | Yes | 126 | 79.7¢ | $99 | — |
| DD9990x6c88…8570 | No | 449 | 36.7¢ | $96 | — |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | No | 420 | 20.6¢ | $90 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,111 bets |
| Picksell0x0b9e…154a | Yes | 114 | 88.2¢ | $89 | — |
| 0xfd02…fb6a | Yes | 101 | 80.1¢ | $79 | — |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | Yes | 100 | 75.1¢ | $79 | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| Digital-Boy0xfe41…9f23 | No | 321 | 25.4¢ | $69 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 4,338 bets |
| ItsRigg3d0x6d04…0e1b | No | 291 | 31.7¢ | $63 | New90 settled bets |
| DarkFish0x87cb…6232 | No | 282 | 53.7¢ | $61 | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 74 | 59.6¢ | $58 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| 0xfa76…a43c | No | 230 | 17.5¢ | $50 | — |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 62 | 1.3¢ | $49 | — |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | No | 225 | 14.7¢ | $48 | Break-even−$0.44 per $100 · 3,756 bets |
| absol0x2229…6bf8 | No | 212 | 94.5¢ | $46 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 52 | 78.0¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| Agecanonix0xe068…c5ea | Yes | 50 | 83.9¢ | $39 | — |
| alpha.chen0xe11a…c40b | Yes | 50 | 80.0¢ | $39 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | Yes | 49 | 85.4¢ | $38 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| bananabreakfast0xe338…64ad | No | 171 | 12.4¢ | $37 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 44 | 78.5¢ | $34 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 107 | 23.1¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 86 | 23.1¢ | $18 | Losing−$4.82 per $100 · 8,567 bets |
| easierthanmanifold0xe151…a852 | No | 50 | 69.1¢ | $11 | — |
| WalterSobchack0x64be…c653 | No | 43 | 46.2¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.06 per $100 · 1,976 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 41 | 23.1¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| 0xf85f…9800 | No | 38 | 58.1¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 32 | 19.3¢ | $7 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| JAMJAMJAM40xe8c4…395d | No | 31 | 22.2¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 7,027 bets |
| Corte0x20eb…87ef | No | 29 | 88.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xa6c6…3945 | No | 27 | 13.0¢ | $6 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 26 | 22.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,311 bets |
| Sui0070xce62…cee0 | No | 23 | 22.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x1a8f…2cd1 | No | 18 | 40.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 637 bets |
| pecepe0xbc0d…d3a5 | No | 16 | 60.7¢ | $3 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 15 | 12.6¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| JesusIsRey0x2bc0…f72d | No | 15 | 12.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x745a…64e8 | No | 13 | 94.4¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 8,448 bets |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 10 | 90.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,637 bets |
| ngok9960xe1a9…339e | No | 10 | 30.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 8 | 18.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.77 per $100 · 23,410 bets |
| 0xd660…e8d9 | No | 8 | 64.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xec8d…453d | No | 7 | 69.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x5f59…e61d | No | 7 | 68.9¢ | $2 | — |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | No | 6 | 22.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.90 per $100 · 4,676 bets |
| JorgeBrasla0xa059…5a71 | No | 6 | 25.0¢ | $1 | — |
| AngryTiger0x3ef1…5a3d | No | 6 | 16.5¢ | $1 | — |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | No | 6 | 17.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| PowerPicker0x49e5…f527 | No | 5 | 93.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 53.9¢ | $1 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 3.02K shares each side · Show
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