Market · 32 of 42 outcomes
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
French Presidential Election · 2027 · 1 event · $3.11M in play
Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 388,564 | 0.8¢ | $194 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 149,604 | 0.2¢ | $75 |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 59 | 99.9¢ | $59 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| DawnOfYemen0xc34a…6007 | Yes | 100,000 | 0.5¢ | $50 | Proven+$3.27 per $100 · 1,824 bets |
| 0x0ca8…d2ce | No | 29 | 99.3¢ | $29 | Positive+$1.47 per $100 · 190 bets |
| 0xf8cd…69a6 | No | 26 | 99.4¢ | $26 | — |
30 more outcomes in this event.
These 42 outcomes add up to 101.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.